lukestein’s avatarlukestein’s Twitter Archive—№ 4,333

  1. …in reply to @itaisher
    @itaisher @rajivatbarnard This (and replies/linked paper) have more on what may be going on with sum>100 and issues w low prob contracts’ pricing: @page_eco/1177800926469378048
    On twitter.com Twitter logo lukestein’s avatar ♻️ 3 Retweets ❤️ 5 Favorites Mood 0
    1. …in reply to @lukestein
      @itaisher @rajivatbarnard Also, there are much more nuanced ways of trying to calculate implied probabilities from the prediction market prices. @ElectabilityBot’s not trying (so I should probably change the header text). @lukestein/1177955013387112451
      Permalink On twitter.com Twitter logo lukestein’s avatar ♻️ 3 Retweets ❤️ 4 Favorites Mood 0