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Re: limits to arbitrage on @PredictIt, suppose I thought Yang “overvalued” • Deposit $850 max • Buy Yang No’s for ≥93¢ • Best case hold-to-settle turns $850 → $850 × (1/0.93) ≈ $914 • Pay 10% of profit and 5% withdrawal fee ⇒ withdraw ~$862 $12 or 1.4% in 15 months 🤔