lukestein’s Twitter Archive—№ 4,406

@jben0 If you’re willing to use @PredictIt prices, they have contracts on impeach and senate conviction (I.e., you don’t need to use the doesn’t-complete-first-term contract): 19¢/79¢ ≈ 24% On the merits, that probability smells OK to me. @electabilitybot/1179805842461212673