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@daniel_egan @Wolfram_Alpha Not sure I’ve ever hand-coded a GMM estimator for Twitter before, but it’s easier when n=1 😉 For @millerak42, X=50 ⇒ p≈42.9% wolframalpha.com/input/?i=X%3D%28p%5E0%29%281-p%29%28X%2B1%29%2B%28p%5E1%29%281-p%29%28X%2B2%29%2B%28p%5E2%29%281-p%29%28X%2B3%29%2B%28p%5E3%29%281-p%29%28X%2B4%29%2B%28p%5E4%29%284%29%2C+X%3D50 @lukestein/1222579802076401664