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@stroebel_econ @arpitrage A guess: Given no new traders could enter this market, maintaining a price floor on this contract has been a relatively cheap investment to sustain an ingredient in the trumpists’ narrative. The question is when Predictit will close the contract and now they finally might.
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@stroebel_econ @arpitrage (Amazing they still haven’t paid out some of these markets—fwiw all my bets except the last one were just on spreads closing)